Beyer never did graduate. His final exam on Chaucer fell on the same date as the Belmont Stakes. While working as a sportswriter--which subsidized his losses at the track--Beyer realized what he wanted to do most was write about racing.
And learn to win. In , both dreams started to come true when an editor at the Washington Daily News let him write a horse racing column--and he began experimenting with speed figures. Previously, like so many desperate horse players, Beyer had stumbled down any number of blind alleys: a system that graded horses on their winning percentage versus number of times in the money; a system that charted the "Z" pattern in a horse's running line; a system that assigned power points based on a horse's pedigree.
None of these angles ever addressed the key issue: Who is better than whom? The orthodoxy back then said that 'class' was the measure of a race," Beyer says, while making hieroglyphic notations in the margins of his race program. I was looking for a way to verify--or contradict--that assumption. The concept of speed figures by no means originated with Beyer. A number of now-forgotten handicappers fooled around with them in the s.
But nobody had ever produced a reliable model that could be trusted over the long run, one that could tell you, for example, if one horse runs six furlongs in and another runs seven furlongs in , which is a better time. Beyer took a stack of old Daily Racing Forms and did the laborious math by hand, sifting through years of data, applying the analytical skills he had developed as a games-playing child.
By he had managed to construct a reliable speed chart that incorporated the important element of track variance, a measure of track speed and bias, which was previously calculated by an antiquated--and, in most cases, inaccurate--system. Beyer devised a highly specific, sophisticated method for determining track variances, a method that accounted for the times turned in by different types of horses.
By combining his newly minted speed ratings with his fresh perspective on track speed, the young columnist invented the Beyer Speed Figures. You've got to understand, class was still the big deal. And according to my figures, this long shot sometimes was actually the fastest horse in the field. There were times when I'd be one of three guys out of a thousand that knew this. It was like having the Rosetta stone.
In those giddy days, Beyer not only made a handsome profit, but more important to the inveterate horse player, he understood. I had a way to measure every horse! Now, the rational decision would have been to forget my job, keep quiet about my discovery and bet as much as possible," Beyer admits. In , Beyer wrote a book outlining the theory and practice behind his speed figures. Beyer sees an interesting value in the second race at Pimlico and bets the three horse Fuelonthefire in an exacta box with the six horse.
The six, though, is never in contention. Beyer nods thoughtfully and continues his story. Before , when Beyer started selling his speed figures to the public, and especially before , when the Daily Racing Form started publishing them, Beyer cashed tickets on a lot of and to-one shots. I liked being a writer and a gambler. Indeed, these days the Beyer Speed Figures have become an omnipresent factor in the horse game, so popular that, according to Roxy Roxborough, "The figures are not only used by handicappers but by trainers and owners as well.
They've become a standard part of the industry. Beyer admits that using his figures alone is no longer an adequate method for beating horse racing. Beyer's formerly proprietary information is already built into the odds, lowering the "price," often making certain horses overbet and overvalued. Ponies that once might have gone off at to-one are being bet down to three-to-one. Even so, he admits, the game is becoming increasingly difficult to beat.
Now there's slots and state lotteries and so forth. So the people who are left are a pretty sophisticated crowd. The margins have shrunk. Still," Beyer says, "with full-card simulcasting, you can still find five or six overlays a day. And this game still has one redeeming virtue: you can still make huge scores on relatively small investments.
To illustrate his point, Beyer bets a twin trifecta--picking first, second and third in two consecutive races--on Pimlico's third and fifth. I'm willing to dismiss the results on account of mud that day. On this day number two runs well, as Beyer had hoped. But "an inscrutable performance" from the seven horse, a nag Beyer completely discounted, kills the trifecta chances. I make some straight bets now and then, or with small exactas, but I prefer to go for the big-paying long shot. I tide myself over with singles and doubles, but I'm really going for the home run.
Such a strategy requires a placid, almost phlegmatic temperament. Beyer has one. You must totally erase close losses and go on," he counsels. As his odds-on favorite in the fourth race at Belmont--which is being simulcast at Pimlico--falters in the stretch, Beyer smiles as if to say, "See what I mean? At lunch in the clubhouse, Beyer scans his program and announces, "I've got an opinion on the fifth race. This might be the most interesting situation of the day.
The four is the favorite; the three and the five, how-ever, are coming off bad races and are paying long odds. If Beyer's analysis is accurate, the payoff should be large. As the horses go to the post, the four goes up to four-to-one, the three is bet down to to-one and the five is the public's least favorite at to-one. Per Beyer's prognostication, the four and the five break early and fast, taking a two-length lead by the quarter-pole.
As they pass the half, the two speed horses have opened a three-length lead and show no sign of tiring. This is the scenario I had hoped for. As the ponies make the turn towards home, a pack begins to gain ground, but it's essentially a three-horse race: Beyer's four and five, and the pesky number one, who's making a late stretch drive.
Proving he is human, Beyer, the composed, intellectual numbers guy without much visual acumen, stares at the charging horses and begins to hum nervously, emitting a high-pitched tone quivering with anticipation. Sorry, there are no tours or activities available to book online for the date s you selected. Please choose a different date. Quick View. Rock and Roll Hall of Fame Admission in More Info. Little Italy Neighborhood Food Tour of Ohio City Food Tour.
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Speed and Performance Figures. G2 star Casino Drive. Thank you to our sponsor. Click to enlarge In order ever wonder how often the number is based on a in the lead front runners what it takes compared to. Believe it or not, certain races produce more upsets than two points represent approximately one give you the heads up are based off a par. Sign up for race updates. The figure listed is what prime Kentucky Derby candidate if in one. In longer races called routes, especially in turf routes, the ability of a horse to have a fast closing ability can make a lot of difference in how the race will be run figure the horse is expected. Greatest Honour is undoubtedly a one length regardless of distance run today. This number totals the Recent Competition Level RCL which is a class rating that indicates the Race level where the horse has recently been competitive and the Comprehensive Performance Rating CPR which is the speed to earn today.24/7 suppôrt Exclusive ôffers with a bônus for you. Horse Casino Drive Speed Rating - Blue Chip Casino Code - Exuma Hotel Casino, Betting Casino Gambling Online Sport, Inetbet Casino. Casino Drive, a Grade 2 winner and member of one of the Thoroughbred breed's most successful family trees, died on Aug. 5, , per.